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| It's Pride season here in San Francisco, but this post isn't about Pride. |
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| A few weeks ago, I found out that one of the podcasts I listen to was coming to San Francisco and I posted on Facebook to see if someone wanted to join me. And one of my favorite students/advisees, Nick J. of all time joined me. |
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| The FiveThirtyEight podcast taping at the Herbst Theater. This is why I moved back to San Francisco, to participate and enjoy these events that don't come to any other city. |
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| The podcast panelists. Topics included Brexit (this was being taped on the day of the vote in the UK), the introduction of Nate Silver's upcoming models on predicting the US election and a trivia round. I have to state that Jody Avirgan, on the right, is an excellent moderator. Something about the way he kept the discussion going really stood out. |
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| Nate Silver checking the Brexit results.....when he announced that Leave had prevailed, we were all stunned. The Q&A time at the end specifically sought out Brits for their perspective. |
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| So Silver talked a lot about the upcoming Electoral College map, but the one he wanted to point out is that Arizona, a potential swing state, is an interesting state. If Clinton wins Arizona, she can win the election while still losing Florida, Pennsylvania AND Ohio. |
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| One of the interesting points that the panelists talked out about is how Trump isn't necessarily popular with religious conservatives, like Mormons (of which there are a LOT in Arizona) and how we might need to start separating religious conservatism with cultural (we want things the way they were) conservatism as two separate factors. |
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| So there was a quiz battle between Silver and Harry Enten (in the middle). See how well you can do. Answers posted below. |
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| At the end another FiveThirtyEight reporter, Farai C., came up to talk about her experiences in reporting on the ground and meeting with those in the Midwest and how they are moving towards Trump. |
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| My bingo card.......these cards were BRILLIANT. Overall, it was a totally fun night. Nerding out like this.... |
Answers:
1) 37,100 (about)
2) 1960
3) Never
4) 11 (California, Texas, Florida, New York, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, North Carolina, Georgia and New Jersey)
5) 1876 -- Rutherford B. Hayes vs. Samuel Tilden (81.8%)
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